EL NIÑO 2026–2027: NIGERIA MUST TURN CLIMATE WARNINGS INTO ACTION

 

From Flood Management to Water Security, Climate-Smart Agriculture and Public Health Protection

By Dr. Abiola Bashorun

27 October 2026

As Nigeria gradually transitions from the 2026 rainy season into the dry season, the country faces an important question: How can we transform climate warnings into practical solutions that protect our farmers, communities, environment and economy?

Recent weather advisories from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), alongside international climate outlooks from the United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), underscore the importance of strengthening Nigeria’s preparedness for extreme heat, rainfall variability, water insecurity and climate-related public health risks.

NiMet’s latest outlook highlights dust-haze conditions across parts of northern Nigeria, alongside thunderstorms and rainfall affecting several North-Central and southern states.

Meanwhile, NOAA’s October 2026 outlook indicates a high likelihood of strong-to-very-strong El Niño conditions continuing into early 2027.

While El Niño can influence global weather patterns, its effects are not uniform. Nigeria’s actual weather conditions will depend on regional climate systems, seasonal rainfall patterns and local environmental factors.

Nevertheless, the message is clear: Nigeria must strengthen its capacity to anticipate, adapt to and manage climate-related risks.

FROM EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TO AGRICULTURAL WATER SECURITY

One of Nigeria’s recurring environmental challenges is the contrast between excessive rainfall during the wet season and water scarcity in farming communities during the dry season.

In some communities, heavy rainfall contributes to flooding, erosion, damaged infrastructure and agricultural losses. Yet, months later, farmers in those same regions may struggle to access sufficient water for crop production.

This situation raises an important development question.

Why should communities experience destructive surface runoff during the rainy season while remaining vulnerable to agricultural water shortages during the dry season?

The answer lies partly in improving how we plan, capture, store, distribute and conserve water.

Properly designed drainage channels, rainwater-harvesting systems, farm reservoirs, irrigation infrastructure and soil-moisture conservation practices can help reduce localized flood risks while improving agricultural water availability.

However, these solutions require sound engineering, environmental assessments, appropriate storage capacity and responsible maintenance. Water channeling alone cannot eliminate flooding, and rainwater harvesting cannot guarantee adequate supplies during prolonged droughts.

Our objective should therefore be integrated, sustainable water-resource management.

CLIMATE-SMART AGRICULTURE MUST BECOME A NATIONAL PRIORITY

Agriculture remains central to Nigeria’s food security, rural employment and economic development.

Increasing climate variability creates additional challenges for farmers who depend on predictable rainfall, productive soils and reliable access to water.

Through the Climate-Smart Agronomy/Sustainability Programme, we advocate practical interventions that strengthen agricultural resilience.

These include regenerative agriculture, soil restoration, organic fertilizer production, agroforestry, efficient irrigation, drought-tolerant crop varieties and improved environmental monitoring.

We must also strengthen agricultural extension services so farmers can access timely climate information and adopt appropriate farming techniques.

 

The goal is not simply to increase agricultural production. It is to develop farming systems that remain productive, environmentally responsible and economically sustainable under changing climatic conditions.

 

CLIMATE CHANGE IS ALSO A PUBLIC HEALTH ISSUE

 

The consequences of extreme weather extend beyond agriculture.

 

High temperatures can increase the risks of dehydration, heat exhaustion and heatstroke, particularly among children, older adults, outdoor workers and people with existing health conditions.

 

Dust-haze conditions can aggravate respiratory illnesses, while flooding may contaminate water sources and increase exposure to waterborne diseases.

 

Climate adaptation must therefore incorporate public health preparedness.

 

Communities require improved access to safe drinking water, heat-health information, preventive healthcare, environmental sanitation and appropriate early-warning systems.

 

Our approach recognizes that environmental protection, agricultural sustainability and public health are interconnected.

 

A climate-resilient community must also be a healthier community.

 

THE ROLE OF SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING

 

Effective climate adaptation cannot be built on assumptions.

 

Nigeria needs stronger integration of meteorological information, soil analysis, water-quality testing, environmental assessments and community-level vulnerability monitoring.

 

Scientific data should guide decisions about agricultural investments, irrigation infrastructure, land restoration and environmental health interventions.

 

Through the capabilities available within the wider ZLGA group, including environmental management, laboratory services, waterways management and waste-to-resource activities, we recognize the importance of connecting technical expertise with practical community development.

 

These capabilities provide a foundation for exploring integrated climate adaptation solutions in collaboration with relevant institutions and technical partners.

 

FINANCING CLIMATE RESILIENCE

 

Climate adaptation requires investment.

 

Financial institutions, development partners, government agencies and private investors have important roles to play in supporting sustainable agriculture, irrigation infrastructure, water management, renewable energy and environmental restoration.

 

Well-structured climate financing can help communities and enterprises adopt technologies that improve resilience while supporting employment and economic productivity.

 

However, financing must be accompanied by credible project design, measurable environmental outcomes, transparent governance and responsible implementation.

 

Climate finance should deliver tangible benefits to the communities and ecosystems it is intended to support.

 

A CALL FOR NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL COLLABORATION

 

Nigeria cannot address its climate challenges through isolated interventions.

 

The Climate-Smart Agronomy/Sustainability Programme, under ZLGA Waterways Management Limited, advocates stronger cooperation among government institutions, universities, agricultural research organizations, healthcare professionals, financial institutions, development partners and community stakeholders.

 

Our Nigeria–USA programme framework seeks to encourage knowledge exchange, technical cooperation, investment mobilization and practical solutions across agriculture, environmental management, water security and community resilience.

 

We believe that sustainable development must connect environmental responsibility with economic opportunity, social inclusion and long-term community wellbeing.

 

MY MESSAGE: CLIMATE PREPAREDNESS MUST BEGIN NOW

 

The transition from the rainy season to the dry season should remind us that water is both an essential resource and a powerful environmental force.

 

When poorly managed, excessive rainfall can damage farmland, homes and infrastructure.

 

When responsibly captured, stored and distributed, rainfall can support agricultural production and strengthen livelihoods during periods of limited precipitation.

 

We must begin to see flood-risk management and dry-season water security as interconnected priorities within Nigeria’s climate adaptation strategy.

 

Our response to climate change should not be driven by fear, but by knowledge, preparation, innovation and responsible investment.

 

We must empower our farmers, protect vulnerable communities, strengthen environmental institutions and encourage collaboration across sectors.

 

Above all, we must recognize that climate resilience is not an optional development consideration. It is increasingly essential to food security, public health and economic sustainability.

 

The water we conserve today can help sustain the farms, livelihoods and communities of tomorrow.

 

The time to prepare is now.

 

Dr. Abiola Bashorun

Coordinator

Climate-Smart Agronomy/Sustainability Programme (Nigeria & USA)

ZLGA Waterways Management Limited

 

People | Planet | Prosperity

 

Reference Sources

 

– Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), Weather Outlook, 26 October 2026: https://nimet.gov.ng/weather_forecast_bulletin_detail?id=1482

– NOAA Climate Prediction Center, ENSO Diagnostic Discussion, October 2026: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_disc_oct2026/ensodisc.shtml

– National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA), El Niño preparedness advisory, reported 27 October 2026: https://thesun.ng/el-nino-nema-issues-safety-advisory-to-nigerians/

 

Editorial disclosure: This article expresses the author’s climate adaptation and development recommendations. Meteorological forecasts are attributed to their issuing agencies. Proposed interventions are not presented as completed projects or guaranteed outcomes.

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